This could be an example of seeing two lines that moving similarly, and thinking there’s a connection, or maybe there’s some real insight here…

Either way, in a note today, Cit’s Tobias Levkovitch looks at the M/O ratio, which is the ratio of the middle-aged (40-49 year old) cohort vs. the old-age (60-69) cohort,a nd notes an interesting similarity between that ratio and S&P PE ratios.

Not surprisingly (we supposed) as the number of high earnings/high consuming middle-agers rises and falls in relation to old agers, stock market valuations rise and fall.

And if you believe the inexorable move in the red line (down), then you’d surmise that PEs are going lower as well.

demographics

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Original source at: Money Game | http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheMoneyGame/~3/20Omo8Tq3pQ/chart-of-the-day-pe-ratio-and-mo-ratio-2011-9

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